Was Trump Benefiting From Being Out of the News?
His liabilities weren’t dominating the conversation the way they once did, perhaps helping his polling, but the trial could change things.
By Nate Cohn
My writing for The Upshot and my newsletter, The Tilt, is analytical, explanatory, empirical and data-driven. I’m also responsible for the methodology of the New York Times/Siena College survey, which I started in 2016. I work closely with our election results and election analytics teams to make election night projections and to build our live election night forecast, known as “the needle.”
I started at The Times in 2013. Before that, I was a staff writer for The New Republic and a research assistant at The Henry L. Stimson Center in Washington. I’ve won several awards over the years, most recently the Citrin Award for achievements in public opinion research from the Citrin Center at the University of California at Berkeley. Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight, gives the New York Times/Siena College poll an A+ grade and rates it as the most accurate poll in America.
There is a responsibility to accurately and fairly represent the views and attitudes of the electorate in a democratic society, and I take that responsibility very seriously. I am committed to maintaining the highest level of transparency and The Times has an extensive ethics policy. I do not accept gifts, money or favors. I do not participate in politics. I don’t make political donations. I also make a personal choice not to register with a political party, or to vote.
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His liabilities weren’t dominating the conversation the way they once did, perhaps helping his polling, but the trial could change things.
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